Pregame Civil War thoughts

The Beavers are two touchdown underdogs and most local media has predicted the score to be about 41-21 in the Ducks favor. I agree that it will be a tough task to win, but I think at the very least it will be a close game. Here's why:

1. The Beavers defense has improved from last in the conference earlier in the season to 4th in the Pac-10. They are first in the Pac-10 against the run. That's a lot of improvement.

2. Every game that Kellen Clemens has not been a part of has been a close game. Down to the wire. I think that's because their offense simply isn't as good or efficient without Clemens. Their offense had been over 500 total yards 3 straight games until Clemens went out. Only one game since has been over 400.

3. Oregon State has a good running game again. The Ducks have given up a ton of yards on the ground the last three games. The Beavs should be able to move the ball even if Gundy doesn't have the game of his life.


If the Beavs were going to pull the upset then I think they would need to do this:

1. Run the ball effectively.

The Beavs need to keep their defense off the field and that means eating some clock. If Yvenson Bernard can get rolling early that will take a ton of pressure off of Gunderson.

2. Have a positive turnover margin.

The Beavers must force turnovers and take care of the ball. I think a +2 or +3 turnover margin would give them a great shot at winning the game.

3. Make the Duck QBs beat you with long drives.

Don't let them get any long bombs. Stuff the run and take away the long stuff and see if Dixon and Leaf can put together a 15 play drive with a lot of accurate short range passes. Not only will that test their ability, but it will give you more chances to get an INT or a fumble or make something happen.

4. Get the ball first in the second half.

I swear that every time the Beavs get the ball first, they lose. I don't know why that is, but please don't take the ball first!



Its almost here! Let break the streak of home wins now!

GO BEAVS!